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PoF

PoF — Probability of Failure

The estimated likelihood that an asset or component will fail within a specified period or operating condition.

Definition

Probability of Failure (PoF) is the estimated likelihood that an asset, component or system will experience a failure within a defined period or under specified operating conditions. Within Risk-Based Inspection (RBI), PoF is evaluated using factors such as degradation mechanisms, equipment condition, operating history, inspection effectiveness and engineering analysis to determine overall risk.

Why It Matters

Probability of Failure provides a quantitative measure of failure likelihood for risk assessment and integrity management.

In Practice

PoF is commonly combined with Consequence of Failure (CoF) within risk assessment methodologies to prioritize inspection, maintenance and mitigation activities.

Common Misuse

Probability of Failure estimates the likelihood of failure, whereas Consequence of Failure evaluates the impact should that failure occur.

Term Details
Synonyms:
PoF; Probability of Failure; Failure Probability; RBI Probability
Classification:
Risk Management
Concept
Advanced
Applications

Risk-Based Inspection; Reliability Engineering; Risk Management.

Where It's Used

Oil and gas.; Petrochemical.; Power generation.; Manufacturing.; Infrastructure.

References

API RP 580; API RP 581

See It In VisualAIM

VisualAIM connects glossary concepts to the asset records, inspection histories, and workflows they describe.

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