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LoF

LoF — Likelihood of Failure

The estimated probability that an asset or component will fail within a specified period or operating condition.

Definition

Likelihood of Failure (LoF) is an estimate of the probability that an asset, system or component will experience a failure during a defined period or under specified operating conditions. It is a key input to risk assessments and Risk-Based Inspection (RBI), where it is combined with Consequence of Failure (CoF) to determine overall risk and inspection priorities.

Why It Matters

Likelihood of Failure quantifies the probability of failure and forms a fundamental component of risk-based decision-making.

In Practice

Likelihood of Failure may be determined using historical failure data, engineering analysis, condition monitoring, predictive models or expert judgement, depending on the available information and the criticality of the asset.

Common Misuse

Likelihood of Failure estimates how likely an asset is to fail, whereas Consequence of Failure evaluates the impact should that failure occur.

Term Details
Synonyms:
LoF; Likelihood of Failure; Failure Probability
Classification:
Risk Management
Concept
Intermediate
Applications

Risk-Based Inspection; Reliability Engineering; Risk Management.

Where It's Used

Oil and gas.; Petrochemical.; Power generation.; Manufacturing.; Infrastructure.

References

API RP 580; API RP 581

See It In VisualAIM

VisualAIM connects glossary concepts to the asset records, inspection histories, and workflows they describe.

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